NSW · Lake Macquarie Council

Carey Bay, 2283

Current weather

16.9°CClear sky

67% humidity · 13.5 km/h wind · 20.8° / 13.8° today · 3.1 mm rain

Updated

Desirability score

26.6/100
Below average

1824th in NSW

70% data confidence

How this score is calculated
  • Green suburb
  • High desirability
What Carey Bay is known for: Green suburb, High desirability

Suburb profile

In Lake Macquarie, Carey Bay is a settled smaller community with a familiar suburban feel and good links to the wider city. Still within reach of the city while offering more breathing room, it suits those who want balance over bustle. Retirees and empty-nesters are well represented here.

Local shops and services cover the basics well, with more choice a short trip into neighbouring suburbs. There is enough green space nearby for walks, picnics and after-school play. Transport options are solid enough for daily errands and regular trips further afield.

Homes here are sought-after, with many people drawn to the lifestyle the area offers. Construction and infill projects are noticeably reshaping parts of the area.

On the desirability index, the suburb sits below average overall, with local dining and lifestyle amenities and transport and access the main drags compared with similar metro suburbs. Limited access to some essential local services also trimmed the result.

Population

Population
865
Median age
54
Median household income / week
$1,266
Dwelling vacancy
7.3%
Unoccupied private dwellings
31 of 425
Median monthly mortgage
$1,950
Employment rate
44.3%
Dwelling mix (houses / semi / flats)
25 / 62 / 39

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Employment, household income and age diversity (2021 Census)

Data sources & freshness

  • 2021 Census — General Community ProfileAustralian Bureau of Statistics · Period: 2021 · Updated on site · 2021 Census release

    The 2026 Census runs in August 2026; suburb-level updates are expected from mid-2027.

Housing

Houses (January to March 2026)
$650
Rental bonds lodged (January to March 2026)
89

Median weekly rent from NSW DCJ rent tables. Figures can be unreliable where few bonds were lodged in the quarter.

Contributes to desirability score · Housing (15%) · Future Growth (7%)

Median price, rental yield and vacancy Recent price momentum

Data sources & freshness

Crime & safety

Total offences (Jan 2025 to Dec 2025)
72
Against the person
20
Against property
19
Rate per 1,000 residents
83.2
Person-crime prevalence
About 1 in 43 residents
State safety percentile
58.1th (lower crime is better)
Decrease (daily rate)
-1.1%

Reported offences decreased compared with the previous period.

Reported offences by period

Most common offence types

  • Breach Bail Conditions387
  • Domestic Violence Related Assault156
  • Intimidation, Stalking And Harassment194
  • Malicious Damage To Property138
  • Transport Regulatory Offences278

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Crime rate and year-on-year trend

Data sources & freshness

  • BOCSAR postcode crime statisticsNSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research · Period: Jan 2024 to Dec 2024 → Jan 2025 to Dec 2025; Jan 2025 to Dec 2025 · Updated on site · Rolling 12-month windows

Public transport

15 public transport stops in this suburb

  • Ambrose St After Excelsior Pde
  • Ambrose St Before Excelsior Pde
  • Excelsior Pde At Exeter St
  • Excelsior Pde At Laycock St
  • Exeter St After Excelsior Pde

Contributes to desirability score · Accessibility (15%)

Public transport stop coverage

Data sources & freshness

  • Timetables Complete GTFS stops (© Transport for NSW, CC BY 4.0)Transport for NSW — Open Data Hub · Period: current · Updated on site · GTFS static feed (updated nightly)

Planning & development

Development applications from NSW Planning Portal (lodged 2020–2026).

53 planning-related records

2026· 5 proposals
  • May 2026

  • Erection of a new structure; Carport
    36 HAMPTON STREET CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • April 2026

  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Jetty
    7 EXCELSIOR PARADE CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • March 2026

  • Erection of a new structure; Swimming pool
    93 EXCELSIOR PARADE CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • Shed; Subdivision; Erection of a new structure; Supporting Development
    77 EXCELSIOR PARADE CAREY BAY 2283Under Assessment
  • January 2026

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    1 LAYCOCK STREET CAREY BAY 2283Determined
2025· 7 proposals
  • December 2025

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    24 EXCELSIOR PARADE CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Erection of a new structure
    13 THE QUARTERDECK CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • November 2025

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    5 EXCELSIOR PARADE CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • October 2025

  • Demolition; Shed; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    13 EXCELSIOR PARADE CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • June 2025

  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    3 AMBROSE STREET CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • May 2025

  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Balcony, deck, patio, terrace or verandah (screened enclosures)
    8 AMELIA STREET CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • March 2025

  • Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Jetty
    7 EXCELSIOR PARADE CAREY BAY 2283Determined
2024· 7 proposals
  • November 2024

  • Demolition; Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure; Erection of a new structure
    44 EXCELSIOR PARADE CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    37 EXCELSIOR PARADE CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • October 2024

  • Secondary dwelling; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    7 EXCELSIOR PARADE CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • August 2024

  • Demolition; Shed; Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    13 EXCELSIOR PARADE CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • Dwelling house; Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure
    3 LAYCOCK STREET CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure; Earthworks, retaining walls and structural support
    35 JABIRU STREET CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • March 2024

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    27 EXCELSIOR PARADE CAREY BAY 2283Determined
2023· 7 proposals
  • October 2023

  • Dwelling house; Erection of a new structure
    71 EXCELSIOR PARADE CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • September 2023

  • Balconies, decks, patios, terraces or verandahs
    6 EXETER STREET CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • Dual occupancy; Pools / decks / fencing; Balconies, decks, patios, terraces or verandahs; Demolition; Subdivision of land; Earthworks / change in levels
    37 JABIRU STREET CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • July 2023

  • Dwelling; Pools / decks / fencing; Balconies, decks, patios, terraces or verandahs; Demolition; Retaining walls, protection of trees
    29 EXCELSIOR PARADE CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • June 2023

  • Balconies, decks, patios, terraces or verandahs; Alterations and additions to residential development
    10 AMELIA STREET CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • May 2023

  • Dwelling; Pools / decks / fencing; Balconies, decks, patios, terraces or verandahs; Demolition
    99 EXCELSIOR PARADE CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • April 2023

  • Demolition
    73 EXCELSIOR PARADE CAREY BAY 2283Withdrawn
2022· 14 proposals
  • December 2022

  • Dwelling
    73 EXCELSIOR PARADE CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • November 2022

  • Alterations and additions to residential development
    83 Excelsior Parade, CAREY BAY NSW 2283Determined
  • October 2022

  • Alterations and additions to residential development
    34 AMBROSE STREET CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • September 2022

  • Alterations and additions to residential development
    7 EXCELSIOR PARADE CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • August 2022

  • Dwelling; Garages, carports and car parking spaces
    35 JABIRU STREET CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • June 2022

  • Alterations and additions to residential development
    8 AMBROSE STREET CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • Alterations and additions to commercial development; Centre based childcare
    1 17 LAYCOCK STREET CAREY BAY 2283Withdrawn
  • April 2022

  • Dwelling
    30 EXCELSIOR PARADE CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • Balconies, decks, patios, terraces or verandahs; Alterations and additions to residential development
    25 EXCELSIOR PARADE CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • Garages, carports and car parking spaces
    7 EXCELSIOR PARADE CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • March 2022

  • Alterations and additions to residential development
    83 Excelsior Parade, CAREY BAY NSW 2283Determined
  • Pools / decks / fencing; Balconies, decks, patios, terraces or verandahs; Alterations and additions to residential development
    50 AMELIA STREET CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • February 2022

  • Dwelling; Balconies, decks, patios, terraces or verandahs; Alterations and additions to residential development; Garages, carports and car parking spaces
    27 AMBROSE STREET CAREY BAY 2283Determined
  • Centre based childcare
    1 17 LAYCOCK STREET CAREY BAY 2283Determined

Contributes to desirability score · Future Growth (7%)

Development and planning activity

Data sources & freshness

Amenities

4 nearby amenities within ~1.5 km

  • Ambrose St before Excelsior PdeBus stop
  • Amelia St before Whitelocke StBus stop
  • Excelsior Pde at Laycock StBus stop
  • Exeter St after Excelsior PdeBus stop

Names and addresses from OpenStreetMap. Unnamed venues show as their type (e.g. Cafe).

Contributes to desirability score · Lifestyle (15%)

Food, shopping, recreation and sport (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • OpenStreetMap amenitiesOpenStreetMap contributors · Period: current · Updated on site · Weekly refresh

Socio-economic (SEIFA)

IRSAD decile (2021)
7/10
IRSD decile (2021)
5/10

SEIFA indexes from ABS 2021. Decile 10 = most advantaged / least disadvantaged in Australia.

Contributes to desirability score · Community (5%)

Socio-economic advantage (IRSAD decile)

Data sources & freshness

Hazards

Bushfire planning zone
No overlay at centroid

Bushfire overlay checked at suburb centroid via NSW bush fire prone land mapping.

Contributes to desirability score · Safety (18%)

Bushfire hazard overlays

Data sources & freshness

  • Hazard planning overlaysState government hazard layers · Period: current · Updated on site

Green cover

Parks & woodland (OSM)
6
Parks (OSM)
2

OpenStreetMap parks and natural woodland features mapped within the suburb boundary.

Contributes to desirability score · Environment (10%)

Parks and green cover (OpenStreetMap)

Data sources & freshness

  • OpenStreetMap green cover featuresOpenStreetMap contributors · Period: current · Updated on site · Weekly refresh

Desirability Index

Desirability score
26.6/100 — Below average
National rank
5832nd in Australia
State rank
1824th in NSW
Peer rank
#121 among Metro Sydney · Mature suburbs
Cohort rank
#819 among Metro Sydney suburbs
Data confidence
70%

Data sources & freshness

  • Suburb Guide desirability indexSuburb Guide (derived score) · Period: current · Updated on site · Derived from source metrics

Recent changes

  • Ambrose St before Excelsior Pdeamenitiesbus_stop
  • Amelia St before Whitelocke Stamenitiesbus_stop
  • Excelsior Pde at Laycock Stamenitiesbus_stop
  • Exeter St after Excelsior Pdeamenitiesbus_stop
  • Breach Bail Conditionscrime387
  • Domestic Violence Related Assaultcrime156
  • Intimidation, Stalking And Harassmentcrime194
  • Malicious Damage To Propertycrime138
  • Transport Regulatory Offencescrime278
  • Ambrose St After Excelsior Pdetransport

Data sources & freshness

More in Lake Macquarie Council

Other suburbs in the same local government area.

Comparable suburbs

Similar population and socio-economic profile in other parts of New South Wales.